3 top picks today with 9+ confidence — get daily alerts free
🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Mirassol & Gremio Prediction

Mirassol
L L W W L
vs
23:00
17 Jul · Fri
Gremio
L W L D W
Referee: Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
1X
70% confidence
1.35
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
41%
Mirassol
Draw
29%
No bet
Away win
30%
Gremio

Last Matches

Mirassol · Last 5

30.05 AAtletico Paranaense 0 - 1 L
26.05 ALanus 0 - 1 L
23.05 HFluminense 1 - 0 W
20.05 AAlways Ready 2 - 1 W
16.05 AAtletico-MG 1 - 3 L

Gremio · Last 5

04.07 HChapecoense-sc 1 - 2 L
27.06 ACascavel 2 - 1 W
30.05 HCorinthians 1 - 3 L
26.05 HAtletico Torque 2 - 2 D
23.05 HSantos 3 - 2 W

Head-to-Head

13.09.2025 Gremio vs Mirassol 0 — 1
16.04.2025 Mirassol vs Gremio 4 — 1
02.03.2022 Mirassol vs Gremio 3 — 2

As Mirassol prepares to host Gremio in a critical Serie A clash, both teams are eager to secure points to climb out of their precarious league positions. Mirassol, currently 19th, has shown resilience at home despite their overall struggles, while Gremio, sitting 16th, boasts a strong away record that they will look to extend.

Mirassol's recent form has been a mix of results, with a record of one win and four losses in their last five matches. Their notable victory was a 1-0 win against Fluminense at home, showcasing their capability to perform on familiar turf. Mirassol has been effective at home, with four wins and a draw from their last five home matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game while conceding just 0.60. The absence of injuries and suspensions gives them a full squad to choose from, which might be crucial against a formidable opponent.

Gremio, on the other hand, enters this fixture with a slightly better form, having secured two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five outings. Their attacking prowess is evident, averaging 1.80 goals per match, but they also concede an average of 2.00 goals, which might be a concern against Mirassol’s home strength. Gremio's away form is impressive, as they remain unbeaten in their last five away matches with three wins and two draws, scoring 1.80 goals on average while maintaining a solid defense by conceding just 0.40 goals per game.

Both teams have faced each other three times, with Mirassol winning all encounters, the latest being a 3-2 victory. This head-to-head record could boost Mirassol's confidence, but they must remain cautious of Gremio’s away resilience. A key aspect of this match will be how Mirassol's defense handles Gremio's attacking threats and whether they can capitalize on their home advantage.

In terms of prediction, given Mirassol's solid home form and Gremio's strong away performances, this encounter could be tightly contested. The most likely betting event appears to be "1X," considering Mirassol's unbeaten home streak and their psychological edge from previous head-to-head successes. Despite Gremio's strong away record, Mirassol’s home advantage could be pivotal.

Prediction and Betting Tips

70% Confidence
1X
Mirassol is unbeaten at home in their last five matches, and they have won all head-to-head encounters against Gremio.
1.35
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Mirassol vs Gremio
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.39 3.38 3.24 Bet now
Bet365 2.25 3.20 3.10 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.27 3.24 3.10 Bet now
1xBet 2.34 3.33 3.19 Bet now