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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Palmeiras VS Vasco DA Gama: Prediction & Match Score

Palmeiras
W L D D L
vs
4 – 1
Full Time · HT 0:0
15:00
23 Aug · Sun
Vasco DA Gama
W L D D W
Venue: Nubank Parque Referee: B. Machado
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
75% confidence
1.88
Odds

Game Stats

Palmeiras 4:1 Vasco DA Gama
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.60
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
5
4
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Shots Outside Box
3
5
Corners
3
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
440
Total Passes
329
380
Accurate Passes
281
86%
Pass Accuracy
85%

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
58%
Palmeiras
Draw
24%
No bet
Away win
18%
Vasco DA Gama

Last Matches

Palmeiras · Last 5

19.08 ACerro Porteno 1 - 0 W
15.08 AFluminense 2 - 3 L
12.08 HCerro Porteno 1 - 1 D
09.08 HInternacional 0 - 0 D
05.08 AFortaleza EC 2 - 3 L

Vasco DA Gama · Last 5

20.08 AOlimpia 4 - 1 W
16.08 HSantos 0 - 3 L
13.08 HOlimpia 0 - 0 D
09.08 ABahia 0 - 0 D
05.08 AFluminense 3 - 1 W

Head-to-Head

12.03.2026 Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras 2 — 1
01.10.2025 Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama 3 — 0
04.05.2025 Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras 0 — 1
22.09.2024 Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras 0 — 1
13.06.2024 Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama 2 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Palmeiras

+Jefte
+Paulinho
+R. Sosa

Vasco DA Gama

+Brenner
+Jair
+Mateus Carvalho

As the Serie A season heats up, Palmeiras, currently leading the league, will host Vasco DA Gama at Nubank Parque. This encounter on August 23 promises to be a compelling matchup given the contrasting fortunes of the two teams.

Palmeiras have been in formidable form recently, highlighted by their commanding 4-0 away victory over Vitoria. They have scored an average of 2.00 goals per game in their last five matches while conceding only 0.80. At home, their record shows two wins, two draws, and a single loss, with an average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Encouragingly for the hosts, they have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field a full-strength squad. Despite a recent 1-1 draw with Cerro Porteno, Palmeiras' overall form suggests they are well-equipped to maintain their top spot.

Vasco DA Gama, on the other hand, find themselves struggling near the bottom of the table. Their recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a surprising 3-1 away win against Fluminense standing out. However, with an average of just 0.80 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in their last five outings, Vasco's attack has struggled to make a consistent impact. Their away form mirrors their overall struggles, as they have managed only one win in their last five away matches, alongside three draws and one loss. Like Palmeiras, Vasco DA Gama do not have any players missing due to injury or suspension.

Historically, Palmeiras have dominated this fixture, winning four of their last five encounters against Vasco DA Gama. The most recent head-to-head saw Palmeiras secure a 2-0 victory, underlining their superiority in this matchup. With both teams coming into this game with their full squads, the prediction leans towards Palmeiras continuing their impressive run against Vasco DA Gama.

Given the statistical trends and head-to-head dominance, the most probable betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5". Palmeiras' recent goal-scoring form, coupled with their home advantage, suggests they could be involved in another high-scoring affair, especially against a Vasco side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities away from home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

75% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Palmeiras have an average of 2.00 goals scored in their last five matches and a strong home record, suggesting a high-scoring game against Vasco DA Gama.
1.88
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.62 4.05 6.30 Bet now
William Hill 1.57 3.75 5.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.55 4.00 6.25 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.57 3.88 5.65 Bet now
Unibet 1.57 3.85 5.75 Bet now
Betfair 1.55 3.90 5.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.57 3.90 5.75 Bet now
SBO 1.55 3.73 5.22 Bet now