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🇳🇱 Eredivisie · Netherlands

Ajax & Excelsior Prediction

Ajax
W L W W W
vs
14:00
19 Sep · Sat
Excelsior
D W W L W
Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena Referee: M. Nagtegaal
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
All: Both Teams to Score : Yes
85% confidence
1.43
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
68%
Ajax
Draw
18%
No bet
Away win
14%
Excelsior

Last Matches

Ajax · Last 5

12.09 AFortuna Sittard 5 - 1 W
05.09 HPSV Eindhoven 1 - 3 L
30.08 ATelstar 4 - 0 W
27.08 HFC Sion 5 - 3 W
20.08 AFC Sion 4 - 2 W

Excelsior · Last 5

08.09 ANEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 D
05.09 AWillem II 3 - 0 W
29.08 HSparta Rotterdam 2 - 1 W
15.08 HPSV Eindhoven 1 - 2 L
07.08 ACambuur 4 - 0 W

Head-to-Head

01.02.2026 Excelsior vs Ajax 2 — 2
22.11.2025 Ajax vs Excelsior 1 — 2
24.04.2024 Ajax vs Excelsior 2 — 2
19.08.2023 Excelsior vs Ajax 2 — 2
29.01.2023 Excelsior vs Ajax 1 — 4

As Ajax prepare to host Excelsior at the Johan Cruijff Arena, both teams are eager to solidify their standings in this early phase of the Eredivisie season. With Ajax sitting in 8th place and Excelsior up in 4th, this encounter promises to be a thrilling battle of attacking prowess.

Ajax have been in scintillating form offensively, averaging 3.20 goals per game over their last five matches. Their recent performances include a dominant 4-0 victory against Telstar and a high-scoring 5-3 win over FC Sion. Despite their attacking might, Ajax's defense has shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. At home, they maintain a strong record with three wins out of five, although they’ve also shown an inclination for high-scoring draws and losses, as evidenced in their 2-2 draw with Heerenveen and 1-3 loss to PSV Eindhoven. Fortunately for Ajax, they have a fully fit squad with no injuries or suspensions to worry about.

Excelsior, on the other hand, have been impressive, particularly on their travels. They boast an unbeaten away record over their last five matches, with notable victories including a commanding 3-0 win over Willem II and a resounding 4-0 success at Cambuur. Excelsior's away form is underlined by their average of 3.80 goals scored per game, while their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 1.20 goals on average in the same period. Like their opponents, Excelsior also have the luxury of a complete squad, free from injuries or suspensions.

The historical head-to-head encounters between Ajax and Excelsior suggest a closely contested affair. With three draws in their last five meetings, including two 2-2 draws, both teams have shown they can match each other stride for stride. The keyword to focus on for this match is "prediction." Given the attacking strengths and recent performances of both sides, the most likely outcome is a high-scoring encounter.

For bettors, the market that stands out is "All: Both Teams to Score : Yes." Both Ajax and Excelsior have been prolific in front of goal, with Excelsior's away goal-scoring average particularly impressive. Coupled with Ajax’s tendency to both score and concede frequently, this market offers significant betting value.

Prediction and Betting Tips

85% Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score : Yes
Both teams have shown strong attacking form, with Ajax averaging 3.20 goals per game and Excelsior 2.40. Their recent head-to-head games have often ended in draws, suggesting both will score.
1.43
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Ajax vs Excelsior
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.45 5.80 7.55 Bet now
William Hill 1.36 5.00 6.50 Bet now
Bet365 1.36 5.25 6.50 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.36 5.25 6.80 Bet now
Betfair 1.30 5.50 7.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.33 5.75 7.00 Bet now
1xBet 1.40 5.44 7.05 Bet now
Betano 1.39 5.60 6.60 Bet now