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🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 FA Cup · England

Chelsea & Manchester City Prediction

Chelsea
W L D L W
vs
14:00
16 May · Sat
Manchester City
D W W W D
Venue: Wembley Stadium Referee: D. England
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
85% confidence
4.31
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
10%
Chelsea
Draw
45%
No bet
Away win
45%
Manchester City

Last Matches

Chelsea · Last 5

19.05 HTottenham 2 - 1 W
16.05 HManchester City 0 - 1 L
09.05 ALiverpool 1 - 1 D
04.05 HNottingham Forest 1 - 3 L
26.04 HLeeds 1 - 0 W

Manchester City · Last 5

19.05 ABournemouth 1 - 1 D
16.05 AChelsea 1 - 0 W
13.05 HCrystal Palace 3 - 0 W
09.05 HBrentford 3 - 0 W
04.05 AEverton 3 - 3 D

Head-to-Head

12.04.2026 Chelsea vs Manchester City 0 — 3
04.01.2026 Manchester City vs Chelsea 1 — 1
25.01.2025 Manchester City vs Chelsea 3 — 1
18.08.2024 Chelsea vs Manchester City 0 — 2
03.08.2024 Manchester City vs Chelsea 4 — 2

As Chelsea and Manchester City prepare to clash at Wembley Stadium in the FA Cup, football fans are eagerly anticipating a high-stakes encounter between two of England's top sides. While Chelsea have struggled for consistency in recent matches, Manchester City arrive with a strong track record, having shown their prowess in both domestic and continental competitions.

Chelsea's recent form has been a mixed bag, with the team winning just two of their last five matches. Their most recent encounter with Manchester City ended in a 3-0 defeat, highlighting the challenges they face against the reigning champions. Chelsea have averaged 0.40 goals per game in their last five matches while conceding an average of 2.00 goals. This defensive frailty could be a concern as they go up against a City side known for their attacking flair. Despite their struggles, Chelsea's home form offers some solace, having scored an average of 1.80 goals per game at Stamford Bridge, though they have also conceded an average of 1.40 goals.

On the other hand, Manchester City come into this fixture in formidable form, having remained unbeaten in their last five matches. With three wins and two draws, City have been scoring at an impressive rate, averaging 2.20 goals per game while conceding just 1.00. Their away form has been particularly strong, with three wins and two draws, and an impressive record of conceding only 0.80 goals on average. City's recent dominance over Chelsea in head-to-head matchups further solidifies their position as favorites; they've won four of the last five meetings, including a commanding 3-0 victory at Stamford Bridge.

With both teams boasting full squads, the match promises to be an intriguing contest of tactical nous and individual brilliance. However, given their current form and recent head-to-head success, Manchester City appear to have the upper hand. The prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair, with "Total:Over: 2.5" goals seeming the most probable outcome. This is supported by both teams' recent scoring trends and City's ability to find the net consistently against Chelsea.

Prediction and Betting Tips

85% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have shown the ability to score in recent matches, and Manchester City's strong attacking form suggests a high-scoring game is likely.
4.31
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Chelsea vs Manchester City
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 4.85 4.15 1.81 Bet now
William Hill 4.60 3.80 1.70 Bet now
Bet365 4.50 3.90 1.75 Bet now
Marathonbet 4.80 4.10 1.75 Bet now
Unibet 4.70 4.00 1.70 Bet now
Betfair 4.60 4.10 1.73 Bet now
BetVictor 4.40 3.90 1.70 Bet now
Pinnacle 4.54 4.07 1.76 Bet now