Alaves & Malaga Prediction
Win Probability
Pre-match analysisLast Matches
Alaves · Last 5
Malaga · Last 5
Head-to-Head
As La Liga action continues, Alaves host Malaga at Estadio Mendizorrotza on October 23, 2026. Both teams find themselves at opposite ends of the table, with Alaves seeking to maintain their competitive form while Malaga aims to climb out of the relegation zone.
Alaves have enjoyed a decent run at home, securing three victories in their last five matches at Estadio Mendizorrotza. They've shown a knack for finding the back of the net, averaging two goals per game at home. However, their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of one goal per match. Despite their recent setbacks against Atletico Madrid and Valencia, Alaves displayed their attacking prowess in a commanding 5-2 win over Osasuna. With a clean bill of health in terms of injuries and suspensions, they will look to capitalize on their home advantage against a struggling Malaga side.
Malaga's season has been challenging, as evidenced by their position at the bottom of the league table. Their recent form illustrates their struggles; they are winless in their last five outings, having managed only two draws against Espanyol and Celta Vigo. On the road, Malaga's performances have been particularly concerning, with no wins and four losses in their last five away matches. Scoring has been a significant issue, with an average of only 0.4 goals scored per away game, while their defense has been porous, conceding an average of two goals. Similar to Alaves, Malaga have no players sidelined due to injury or suspension, but they will need to address their issues quickly to have a chance against their opponents.
In terms of head-to-head encounters, Alaves have been dominant, winning four of the last five meetings between the two teams. This trend, combined with Malaga's poor away form and Alaves' ability to score at home, points toward a potentially high-scoring match. Therefore, the most likely prediction is for the total goals to exceed 2.5, considering both teams' recent defensive vulnerabilities and Alaves' attacking strength at home.