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🇪🇸 La Liga · Spain

Real Madrid & Malaga Prediction

Real Madrid
W W W W D
vs
11:00
30 Aug · Sun
Malaga
L D L W D
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5: goals
85% confidence

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
50%
Real Madrid
Draw
50%
No bet
Away win
0%
Malaga

Last Matches

Real Madrid · Last 5

22.08 AEspanyol 2 - 1 W
16.08 AFC Schalke 04 3 - 0 W
12.08 ADeportivo La Coruna 1 - 0 W
08.08 AFerencvarosi TC 2 - 1 W
01.08 HFiorentina 2 - 2 D

Malaga · Last 5

19.08 AAtletico Madrid 0 - 2 L
12.08 HFulham 2 - 2 D
07.08 AAD Ceuta FC 1 - 2 L
06.08 HAl-Arabi SC 4 - 2 W
30.07 HAl-Ittihad FC 2 - 2 D

Head-to-Head

15.04.2018 Malaga vs Real Madrid 1 — 2
25.11.2017 Real Madrid vs Malaga 3 — 2
21.05.2017 Malaga vs Real Madrid 0 — 2
21.01.2017 Real Madrid vs Malaga 2 — 1
21.02.2016 Malaga vs Real Madrid 1 — 1

As Real Madrid prepares to face Malaga on August 30, both teams find themselves at different ends of the La Liga spectrum. Real Madrid currently sits in 12th place, while Malaga struggles at 18th. The match promises to be an intriguing one as both sides aim to improve their standings.

Real Madrid enters this fixture with a strong recent form, having won three of their last five matches, including a convincing 3-0 victory over FC Schalke 04 and a 4-1 triumph against Leganes. Their attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 2.40 goals scored per game in their last five matches. At home, Real Madrid has been particularly potent, averaging 3.00 goals per game, although they have conceded 1.50 on average. Encouragingly for them, they have no players sidelined due to injury or suspension, allowing manager Carlo Ancelotti a full squad to choose from.

In contrast, Malaga has been struggling to find their rhythm, occupying a lowly position in the league standings. Their recent form is a mixed bag, with a single win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. They managed a 4-2 win against Al-Arabi SC but succumbed to a 2-0 defeat against Atletico Madrid. Although their scoring has been decent with an average of 1.80 goals per game, their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.00 goals in the same period. Away from home, their form has been particularly poor, with no wins and an average of 0.50 goals scored per game while conceding 2.00. Like Real Madrid, Malaga suffers no absences from injuries or suspensions.

Historically, Real Madrid has dominated this fixture, winning four out of the last five encounters with Malaga. Given Real Madrid's robust form both home and away and Malaga's struggles, particularly in defense, this match appears to be tilted in favor of the home side. However, with both teams capable of finding the back of the net, the prediction leans towards a goal-laden affair. The betting market suggests a high probability for "Total:Over: 2.5" goals, considering the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities exhibited by both teams in recent matches.

Prediction and Betting Tips

85% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5: goals
Given Real Madrid's average of 2.40 goals scored and Malaga's conceding rate of 2.00 goals per game, there's a strong likelihood of more than 2.5 goals in this match.