3 top picks today with 9+ confidence — get daily alerts free
All times in your local time UTC-4 Today Sun, 16 Aug 2026
🇺🇸 Major League Soccer · USA

New York City FC & Philadelphia Union Prediction

New York City FC
L L W D W
vs
18:00
16 Aug · Sun
Philadelphia Union
L W L W W
Venue: Yankee Stadium Referee: S. Demianchuk
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
75% confidence
1.64
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
44%
New York City FC
Draw
25%
No bet
Away win
31%
Philadelphia Union

Last Matches

New York City FC · Last 5

13.08 HNecaxa 1 - 2 L
09.08 ACruz Azul 1 - 2 L
06.08 HSantos Laguna 2 - 0 W
31.07 HToronto FC 1 - 1 D
25.07 HChicago Fire 3 - 1 W

Philadelphia Union · Last 5

13.08 HSantos Laguna 0 - 2 L
09.08 HNecaxa 3 - 1 W
06.08 ACruz Azul 0 - 1 L
01.08 HAtlanta United FC 3 - 2 W
25.07 HSeattle Sounders 1 - 0 W

Head-to-Head

01.03.2026 Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC 1 — 2
23.11.2025 Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC 0 — 1
04.10.2025 Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC 1 — 0
12.04.2025 New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union 1 — 0
18.09.2024 New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union 1 — 5

Injuries and Suspensions

New York City FC

+A. Farnos
+A. Martinez
+A. O'Neill
+D. Baiera
+K. Trewin
+M. Moralez
+N. Mercau
+Raul Gustavo

Philadelphia Union

+G. Martinez
+P. Ndinga

As New York City FC hosts Philadelphia Union at Yankee Stadium, both teams find themselves in a pivotal moment of their Major League Soccer campaigns. The encounter promises to be a captivating duel given the recent form of both sides.

New York City FC enters this clash with a fairly positive recent run, having secured three wins in their last five matches, including a solid 2-0 victory over Santos Laguna. At home, they have been particularly resilient, recording three wins and just one loss, scoring an average of 1.8 goals while conceding 0.8. With no injuries or suspensions to disrupt their lineup, New York City FC will look to leverage their home advantage to secure another crucial victory.

On the other hand, Philadelphia Union faces a formidable challenge, especially considering their poor away form. They have not managed to secure a single point in their last five away games, while conceding an average of 3.0 goals per match. Despite this, they have been prolific in front of goal lately, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game across their last five fixtures. The Union's offensive prowess was highlighted in their thrilling 6-4 defeat to Inter Miami, yet their defense remains a significant concern.

Historically, matches between these two sides have been closely contested. In their last five encounters, New York City FC has emerged victorious three times, including a narrow 2-1 win in Philadelphia. However, Philadelphia Union's 5-1 thrashing of New York City FC in a previous meeting serves as a reminder of their capability to overturn odds.

As these two teams prepare to face off, the prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair. Given New York City FC's solid home form and Philadelphia Union's scoring ability coupled with their defensive vulnerabilities, the most likely betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5". This market presents a compelling option as both teams are expected to find the back of the net, potentially several times throughout the match.

Prediction and Betting Tips

75% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
New York City FC has been strong at home with an average of 1.8 goals scored, while Philadelphia Union has averaged 2.2 goals scored, but concedes 3.0 goals away, pointing towards a high-scoring game.
1.64
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.35 3.93 3.05 Bet now
William Hill 2.25 3.50 2.70 Bet now
Bet365 2.30 3.50 3.00 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.27 3.68 2.78 Bet now
Unibet 2.25 3.55 2.90 Bet now
Betfair 2.25 3.50 3.00 Bet now
BetVictor 2.30 3.60 2.80 Bet now
Pinnacle 2.23 3.88 2.91 Bet now