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🇵🇹 Primeira Liga · Portugal

Benfica & Vitória SC Prediction

Benfica
L W W W W
vs
13:00
11 Oct · Sun
Vitória SC
W D L D L
Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5: Over 2.5 goals
85% confidence

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
45%
Benfica
Draw
45%
No bet
Away win
10%
Vitória SC

Last Matches

Benfica · Last 5

20.09 AFC Porto 1 - 3 L
16.09 AAC Milan 2 - 0 W
13.09 HGIL Vicente 3 - 1 W
09.09 AMoreirense 4 - 0 W
05.09 AMaritimo 3 - 0 W

Vitória SC · Last 5

25.09 AChaves 1 - 0 W
20.09 HMoreirense 1 - 1 D
12.09 AAcademico Viseu 1 - 2 L
06.09 HCasa Pia 0 - 0 D
31.08 ASC Braga 0 - 1 L

Head-to-Head

21.03.2026 Benfica vs Vitória SC 3 — 0
01.11.2025 Vitória SC vs Benfica 0 — 3
19.04.2025 Vitória SC vs Benfica 0 — 3
07.12.2024 Benfica vs Vitória SC 1 — 0
11.02.2024 Vitória SC vs Benfica 2 — 2

As Benfica prepares to host Vitória SC in this exciting Primeira Liga clash, both teams enter the match with contrasting recent forms that could heavily influence the outcome. Benfica, currently sitting comfortably in second place, has been in formidable form, particularly at home, where they have not lost in their last five games. They have scored an impressive average of 3.20 goals per match at home while conceding only 1.20, showcasing their attacking prowess and defensive solidity.

Benfica comes into this fixture off the back of a 3-1 victory against Gil Vicente, and a comprehensive 4-0 away win at Moreirense, highlighting their attacking capabilities. With no injuries or suspensions to disrupt their squad, Benfica looks set to continue their strong run. Their recent head-to-head history against Vitória SC further boosts their confidence, having won four of their last five encounters, including two emphatic 3-0 victories.

On the other side, Vitória SC finds themselves in a challenging position at 14th place. Their away form has been less than convincing, with three losses in their last five away matches. Although they managed a narrow 1-0 victory against Chaves, their inability to score goals consistently—averaging only 0.60 goals per match in their last five—remains a significant concern. Despite having no injuries or suspensions, Vitória SC's defensive record indicates some stability, conceding an average of just 0.80 goals per match over their recent games.

Given these dynamics, a prediction for this match leans towards a high-scoring affair, particularly in favor of Benfica. Both teams have shown contrasting attacking and defensive stats, and with Benfica's ability to score freely and Vitória SC's struggle in front of goal, the betting market “Total:Over: 2.5” goals appears compelling. Benfica's offensive strength, coupled with their dominant record against Vitória SC, suggests that this match could easily surpass this goal threshold, making it the most likely betting event for those looking to capitalize on the statistics.

Prediction and Betting Tips

85% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5: Over 2.5 goals
Benfica's high scoring rate of 2.60 goals per match and Vitória SC's average of 0.80 goals conceded make a high-scoring game probable.