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🇵🇹 Primeira Liga · Portugal

Nacional & Famalicao Prediction

Nacional
L L L L W
vs
10:30
19 Sep · Sat
Famalicao
D D L L D
Referee: P. Ramalho
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
70% confidence
2.99
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
30%
Nacional
Draw
29%
No bet
Away win
41%
Famalicao

Last Matches

Nacional · Last 5

12.09 HAlverca 1 - 3 L
05.09 ASporting CP 0 - 2 L
30.08 HEstrela 2 - 3 L
23.08 AVitória SC 0 - 1 L
16.08 HEstoril 2 - 0 W

Famalicao · Last 5

05.09 AEstrela 2 - 2 D
30.08 HGIL Vicente 0 - 0 D
23.08 ASanta Clara 0 - 1 L
16.08 HMaritimo 1 - 2 L
07.08 AEstoril 1 - 1 D

Head-to-Head

21.03.2026 Famalicao vs Nacional 1 — 0
01.11.2025 Nacional vs Famalicao 0 — 1
01.03.2025 Nacional vs Famalicao 2 — 1
29.09.2024 Famalicao vs Nacional 0 — 0
16.05.2021 Famalicao vs Nacional 3 — 0

As Nacional prepare to face Famalicao in this Primeira Liga clash, both teams find themselves eager to move up from the lower half of the table. With Nacional sitting in 12th place and Famalicao in 14th, neither side can afford to drop points.

Nacional enters this encounter with a mixed bag of recent performances. They have managed to secure one victory, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. While their home form shows some promise, having scored an average of 1.60 goals per match, they have also been conceding at the same rate, which leaves them vulnerable at the back. Their recent 2-0 home win over Estoril might boost their confidence, but they will be wary of their last game against Sporting CP, where they were unable to find the net. The good news for Nacional is that they have a full squad available, with no players out due to injuries or suspensions.

Famalicao, on the other hand, have struggled to find consistency. Their last five matches have seen them secure three draws and two losses, indicating a pressing need for improvement in their attacking play. With an average of just 0.80 goals scored per game, they have often found it hard to break down opposition defenses. However, their defensive record away from home is slightly better, conceding just 1.00 goal on average. Famalicao also have the advantage in recent head-to-head encounters, having won three of the last five meetings against Nacional.

Given the current form and statistics, a prediction for this match could lean towards a closely contested game. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in defense, but Famalicao's slightly better defensive record on the road could make a difference. Therefore, the betting market "Total: Under: 2.5" seems a reasonable choice, suggesting a low-scoring affair. With both teams needing to solidify their defense, and Famalicao's recent head-to-head success against Nacional, this match is likely to be a tight contest.

Prediction and Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Both teams have struggled offensively, with Nacional averaging 1.20 and Famalicao 0.80 goals per game in recent matches. Their defensive records also suggest a cautious approach, making a low-scoring game probable.
2.99
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Nacional vs Famalicao
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 3.29 3.45 2.38 Bet now
1xBet 3.24 3.40 2.33 Bet now