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🇵🇹 Primeira Liga · Portugal

Vitória SC & Casa Pia Prediction

Vitória SC
W L L W D
vs
13:00
06 Sep · Sun
Casa Pia
L L L L L
Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
75% confidence
1.75
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
56%
Vitória SC
Draw
25%
No bet
Away win
19%
Casa Pia

Last Matches

Vitória SC · Last 5

23.08 HNacional 1 - 0 W
14.08 ASporting CP 2 - 3 L
08.08 HArouca 0 - 1 L
01.08 HChaves 2 - 0 W
26.07 HNottingham Forest 1 - 1 D

Casa Pia · Last 5

30.08 HMoreirense 0 - 1 L
24.08 AGIL Vicente 0 - 2 L
17.08 HBenfica 0 - 7 L
08.08 AMaritimo 0 - 1 L
01.08 ALeixoes 2 - 6 L

Head-to-Head

11.05.2026 Vitória SC vs Casa Pia 0 — 1
28.12.2025 Casa Pia vs Vitória SC 0 — 0
01.03.2025 Vitória SC vs Casa Pia 1 — 0
28.09.2024 Casa Pia vs Vitória SC 1 — 1
24.02.2024 Vitória SC vs Casa Pia 0 — 2

As Vitória SC prepares to host Casa Pia, both teams find themselves at different ends of the Primeira Liga spectrum. Positioned 9th in the league, Vitória SC has shown a blend of promise and inconsistency in their recent matches. Meanwhile, Casa Pia struggles at the bottom of the table, still searching for their first win of the season.

Vitória SC has been relatively solid at home, with two wins and two draws in their last five home matches. They have managed to keep things tight at the back, conceding an average of just 0.40 goals per game at home while scoring an average of 0.80 goals. Their recent form, including a hard-fought 1-0 victory against Nacional and a draw against Nottingham Forest, suggests a team capable of grinding out results. Notably, they have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

In stark contrast, Casa Pia's form has been nothing short of dismal. With a string of losses, including a heavy 7-0 defeat to Benfica and a 6-2 loss to Leixoes, they have conceded an average of 3.40 goals per game in their last five matches. Away from home, their defensive vulnerabilities continue to be exposed, with 2.20 goals conceded per game. They have struggled to find the net, scoring only 0.40 goals on average across their recent fixtures. Like Vitória SC, they have a full squad available, but their recent performances indicate deeper issues.

Historically, the head-to-head record between the two teams has been competitive, with Casa Pia slightly edging Vitória SC with two wins to one in their last five encounters. However, given the current form, the prediction leans towards Vitória SC maintaining their strong home form.

Considering the recent performances and statistics, the most likely betting event appears to be "Total:Under: 2.5". Vitória SC’s home matches tend to be low-scoring affairs, and Casa Pia’s struggles in front of goal further support this outcome. A tight game with few goals seems to be on the cards as both teams aim for a crucial result.

Prediction and Betting Tips

75% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Vitória SC has a strong defensive record at home, conceding only 0.40 goals per game. Casa Pia has struggled offensively, scoring only 0.40 goals on average in recent matches.
1.75
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.77 3.89 5.30 Bet now
Unibet 1.68 3.70 5.00 Bet now
1xBet 1.72 3.84 5.25 Bet now