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🌍 UEFA Nations League · Europe

Croatia & Spain Prediction

Croatia
L L W L W
vs
14:45
06 Oct · Tue
Spain
W W W W W
Venue: Stadion Poljud Referee: Erik Lambrechts
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
85% confidence
1.40
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
10%
Croatia
Draw
16%
No bet
Away win
74%
Spain

Last Matches

Croatia · Last 5

03.10 HEngland 0 - 7 L
29.09 ASpain 1 - 4 L
26.09 ACzechia 2 - 1 W
02.07 APortugal 1 - 2 L
27.06 HGhana 2 - 1 W

Spain · Last 5

03.10 HCzechia 3 - 1 W
29.09 HCroatia 4 - 1 W
26.09 AEngland 3 - 2 W
19.07 HArgentina 1 - 0 W
14.07 AFrance 2 - 0 W

Head-to-Head

29.09.2026 Spain vs Croatia 4 — 1
15.06.2024 Spain vs Croatia 3 — 0
18.06.2023 Croatia vs Spain 0 — 0
28.06.2021 Croatia vs Spain 3 — 5
15.11.2018 Croatia vs Spain 3 — 2

As Croatia prepares to face Spain in the UEFA Nations League, both teams bring contrasting recent performances into this intriguing fixture. Croatia, despite some spirited showings, has found itself on the wrong end of results against top-tier teams, while Spain comes into this match riding a wave of impressive victories.

Croatia's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. They managed to edge out victories against Ghana and Panama but struggled against stronger opposition, notably suffering a heavy 4-1 defeat to Spain. At home, Croatia has demonstrated resilience, winning two of their last three encounters. Their home games see them scoring an average of 1.33 goals while conceding the same, indicating a balanced, albeit challenging, battle on their turf. Fortunately for Croatia, they have a full squad available with no injuries or suspensions to disrupt their preparations.

Spain, on the other hand, has been in scintillating form, winning all of their last five matches. They secured a dominant 4-1 victory against Croatia in their recent head-to-head encounter and have consistently outperformed their opponents, both home and away. Spain's away form is particularly impressive, having won all their recent matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals and conceding just 0.60. Like Croatia, they have a full squad available with no key absentees, which might further bolster their confidence going into this match.

Given Croatia's recent defensive vulnerabilities and Spain's attacking prowess, the prediction leans towards Spain continuing their strong run. The head-to-head record heavily favors Spain, with four wins in their last five meetings against Croatia. This dynamic suggests that Spain's attack could once again prove too potent for Croatia's defense.

Considering all factors, the most probable betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5" goals. This prediction is supported by Spain's high-scoring form and Croatia's tendency to both score and concede, especially against formidable opponents like Spain.

Prediction and Betting Tips

85% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Spain's recent matches have averaged 2.4 goals scored, and Croatia's defense has been vulnerable, especially against strong teams.
1.40
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Croatia vs Spain
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 10.55 6.55 1.35 Bet now
William Hill 9.50 5.80 1.22 Bet now
Bet365 8.00 6.00 1.30 Bet now
Marathonbet 10.50 6.25 1.29 Bet now
Betfair 10.50 6.50 1.22 Bet now
BetVictor 10.00 6.00 1.25 Bet now
SBO 8.68 5.80 1.26 Bet now
1xBet 10.40 6.24 1.29 Bet now