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🌍 UEFA Nations League · Europe

Türkiye VS Italy: Prediction & Match Score

Türkiye
L W L L W
vs
1 – 4
Full Time · HT 0:3
14:45
28 Sep · Mon
Italy
L W W
Venue: Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu Referee: Michael Oliver
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
75% confidence
2.22
Odds

Game Stats

Türkiye 1:4 Italy
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
8
7
Shots off Target
4
5
Blocked Shots
2
6
Shots Inside Box
12
9
Shots Outside Box
2
6
Corners
2
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
21
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
573
Total Passes
499
490
Accurate Passes
425

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
36%
Türkiye
Draw
27%
No bet
Away win
37%
Italy

Last Matches

Türkiye · Last 5

25.09 HFrance 0 - 1 L
25.06 HUSA 3 - 2 W
19.06 HParaguay 0 - 1 L
14.06 AAustralia 0 - 2 L
06.06 AVenezuela 2 - 1 W

Italy · Last 3

25.09 HBelgium 0 - 2 L
07.06 AGreece 1 - 0 W
03.06 ALuxembourg 1 - 0 W

Head-to-Head

04.06.2024 Italy vs Türkiye 0 — 0
29.03.2022 Türkiye vs Italy 2 — 3
11.06.2021 Türkiye vs Italy 0 — 3

As Türkiye prepares to face Italy in the UEFA Nations League, both teams will be looking to assert their dominance on the international stage. With Italy sitting comfortably in second place, their recent form suggests a disciplined defense and efficient attack, while Türkiye aims to leverage their home advantage to climb up the league table.

Türkiye has shown a mixed bag of results recently, with two home wins in their last five matches, including an impressive 4-0 victory against FYR Macedonia. However, their 0-1 loss to Paraguay highlights some inconsistencies. Their attack, averaging 1.80 goals per game, remains potent, especially at home where they score an average of 2.33 goals. Conceding an average of 1.20 goals overall, they will need to tighten their defense against a tactically astute Italian side.

Italy, on the other hand, comes into this match with an unblemished defensive record in their last five outings, not conceding a single goal. Their last two away matches saw them secure narrow 1-0 victories over Greece and Luxembourg, showcasing their ability to grind out results. Despite being effective on the road, their attack has been modest, averaging just one goal per game. Nonetheless, Italy’s historical dominance over Türkiye, with two wins and a draw in their last three encounters, gives them a psychological edge.

Both teams are at full strength with no injuries or suspensions, promising a keenly contested affair. Given the current form and historical data, the prediction leans towards a closely fought match with limited scoring opportunities. The robust defense of Italy against the high-scoring home form of Türkiye sets the stage for an intriguing tactical battle.

The most likely betting event is "Total:Under: 2.5" goals. This prediction is supported by Italy's superb defensive record and their recent trend of low-scoring matches. Türkiye's ability to score, particularly at home, combined with Italy's disciplined defense, suggests a tight encounter with few goals.

Prediction and Betting Tips

75% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Italy has not conceded in their last five matches, and both teams have been involved in low-scoring games recently, indicating a likely match with fewer goals.
2.22
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Türkiye vs Italy
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.75 3.77 2.65 Bet now
William Hill 2.50 3.30 2.50 Bet now
Bet365 2.70 3.50 2.60 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.65 3.72 2.59 Bet now
Betfair 2.70 3.40 2.50 Bet now
BetVictor 2.60 3.60 2.50 Bet now
SBO 2.41 3.18 2.49 Bet now
1xBet 2.65 3.72 2.59 Bet now