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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Atletico-MG & Bahia Prediction

Atletico-MG
W W L W W
vs
22:30
21 Jul · Tue
Bahia
L W W L D
Venue: MRV Arena Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over:2.5
75% confidence
1.91
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
44%
Atletico-MG
Draw
28%
No bet
Away win
28%
Bahia

Last Matches

Atletico-MG · Last 5

31.05 AVasco DA Gama 1 - 0 W
27.05 HPuerto Cabello 1 - 0 W
24.05 ACorinthians 0 - 1 L
21.05 HCienciano 2 - 0 W
16.05 HMirassol 3 - 1 W

Bahia · Last 5

12.07 AFluminense 0 - 2 L
04.07 HAtletico Torque 4 - 1 W
30.05 HBotafogo 2 - 1 W
25.05 ACoritiba 2 - 3 L
17.05 HGremio 1 - 1 D

Head-to-Head

05.11.2025 Atletico-MG vs Bahia 3 — 0
13.07.2025 Bahia vs Atletico-MG 2 — 1
15.09.2024 Bahia vs Atletico-MG 3 — 0
02.06.2024 Atletico-MG vs Bahia 1 — 1
07.12.2023 Bahia vs Atletico-MG 4 — 1

As the Serie A season heats up, Atletico-MG will host Bahia at the MRV Arena on July 21st. This encounter promises to be an intriguing battle as both teams look to solidify their positions in the league standings. Atletico-MG, currently ninth, have been in commendable form recently, and they will be keen to continue their momentum against a Bahia side that sits in sixth place.

Atletico-MG has been consistent at home, boasting three wins in their last five matches, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game. Their defense has also been solid, conceding just 0.4 goals on average in their recent fixtures. With no injuries or suspensions affecting their squad, Atletico-MG will be at full strength for this clash. Their recent victory over Mirassol, where they netted three goals, showcased their attacking prowess, which they will aim to replicate against Bahia.

Bahia, on the other hand, has experienced mixed results lately. While their home performances have been impressive, their away form leaves much to be desired. With four losses and one draw in their last five away matches, they have struggled on the road, scoring just one goal on average while conceding 2.2. Despite this, Bahia managed to secure a solid 4-1 victory over Atletico Torque recently, indicating their potential to score under the right conditions.

In their head-to-head encounters, Bahia has had the upper hand, winning three of the last five meetings between the two sides. However, with Atletico-MG's current form, particularly at home, this match could tip in their favor if they can exploit Bahia's vulnerabilities away from home.

For those considering a betting angle, the prediction leans towards "Total:Over:2.5" goals being a viable option. Both teams have shown the capability to find the net, with Atletico-MG's average goals scored and Bahia's defensive frailties on the road suggesting a match that could see multiple goals. With both teams eager to climb the league table, an open and attacking game is expected.

Prediction and Betting Tips

75% Confidence
Total:Over:2.5
Both teams have been scoring and conceding goals consistently in recent matches, and Bahia's poor away defense suggests a high-scoring game.
1.91
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Atletico-MG vs Bahia
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.16 3.50 3.67 Bet now
William Hill 2.10 3.10 3.40 Bet now
Bet365 2.10 3.30 3.60 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.08 3.28 3.50 Bet now
Unibet 2.02 3.45 3.55 Bet now
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.30 Bet now
BetVictor 2.05 3.40 3.40 Bet now
Pinnacle 2.11 3.34 3.62 Bet now