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🇵🇹 Primeira Liga · Portugal

Casa Pia & Benfica Prediction

Casa Pia
L L L W
vs
15:15
17 Aug · Mon
Benfica
D W W W L
Referee: H. Carvalho
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5: 3.5
85% confidence
1.65
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
9%
Casa Pia
Draw
17%
No bet
Away win
74%
Benfica

Last Matches

Casa Pia · Last 4

08.08 AMaritimo 0 - 1 L
01.08 ALeixoes 2 - 6 L
25.07 ABenfica B 0 - 1 L
18.07 AEstrela 2 - 1 W

Benfica · Last 5

09.08 HAcademico Viseu 2 - 2 D
06.08 HHeart Of Midlothian 6 - 1 W
30.07 HFC ST. Gallen 5 - 0 W
24.07 HCF Os Belenenses 5 - 1 W
23.07 AFC ST. Gallen 1 - 2 L

Head-to-Head

06.04.2026 Casa Pia vs Benfica 1 — 1
09.11.2025 Benfica vs Casa Pia 2 — 2
25.01.2025 Casa Pia vs Benfica 3 — 1
17.08.2024 Benfica vs Casa Pia 3 — 0
17.03.2024 Casa Pia vs Benfica 0 — 1

As Casa Pia prepares to host Benfica on August 17th, the Primeira Liga presents a clash between two teams with contrasting fortunes. Casa Pia, currently languishing in 16th place, faces a formidable opponent in Benfica, who sits comfortably in 3rd position. This match is set to unfold at an undisclosed venue, adding an element of neutrality to the affair.

Casa Pia enters this encounter with a patchy run of form, having secured only one win in their last five matches. Their recent struggles are evident from their away performances, where they scored an average of just 1 goal per game while conceding 2.25. This inconsistency has been a significant hurdle, with their lone victory coming against Estrela in a hard-fought 2-1 battle. Despite their efforts, Casa Pia's defensive frailties have been exposed, allowing a total of 9 goals in their last four matches alone. Fortunately for them, there are no injury or suspension concerns affecting their squad for this crucial fixture.

On the other side, Benfica boasts an impressive attacking prowess, having netted an average of 3.8 goals across their last five outings. Their dominant home form has been a testament to their strength, evidenced by a commanding 6-1 victory over Heart Of Midlothian and a 5-0 demolition of FC St. Gallen. However, their solitary away match in this period ended in a 2-1 loss to FC St. Gallen, indicating a slight vulnerability on the road. Like Casa Pia, Benfica will field a full-strength squad, with no injuries or suspensions to contend with.

The head-to-head record between these two teams is fairly balanced, with two draws and a win each in their last five meetings. The previous encounter saw Benfica edge out Casa Pia 1-0, a result that underscores their ability to grind out results even when not at their best.

In terms of prediction, the expectation leans towards a high-scoring affair. Given Benfica's offensive firepower and Casa Pia's defensive woes, the betting market for "Total: Over: 2.5" goals seems a plausible choice. This prediction is bolstered by Benfica's recent goal-scoring exploits and Casa Pia's tendency to concede, making it a likely outcome in this intriguing Primeira Liga clash.

Prediction and Betting Tips

85% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5: 3.5
Benfica's average of 3.8 goals scored in recent matches and Casa Pia's average of 2.25 goals conceded suggest a likelihood of more than 2.5 goals.
1.65
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Casa Pia vs Benfica
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 12.85 6.51 1.34 Bet now
William Hill 11.00 5.80 1.22 Bet now
Marathonbet 11.50 5.80 1.23 Bet now
Betfair 12.00 5.50 1.22 Bet now
BetVictor 11.00 5.50 1.22 Bet now
Pinnacle 10.65 5.81 1.26 Bet now
1xBet 12.80 6.46 1.25 Bet now
Betano 10.75 5.60 1.29 Bet now