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🇵🇹 Primeira Liga · Portugal

Nacional & Estoril Prediction

Nacional
D L D D D
vs
10:30
16 Aug · Sun
Estoril
D D D L W
Referee: M. Fonseca
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
X: Draw
70% confidence
3.34
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
38%
Nacional
Draw
27%
No bet
Away win
35%
Estoril

Last Matches

Nacional · Last 5

10.08 ASanta Clara 2 - 2 D
23.07 AEstrela 0 - 2 L
22.07 HLeganes 0 - 0 D
19.07 ATondela 1 - 1 D
18.07 HLeixoes 3 - 3 D

Estoril · Last 5

07.08 HFamalicao 1 - 1 D
31.07 ACF Os Belenenses 1 - 1 D
25.07 HTorreense 0 - 0 D
22.07 AAlverca 0 - 2 L
11.07 HAtlético CP 3 - 0 W

Head-to-Head

15.03.2026 Nacional vs Estoril 0 — 1
26.10.2025 Estoril vs Nacional 1 — 1
15.02.2025 Nacional vs Estoril 2 — 2
15.09.2024 Estoril vs Nacional 1 — 0
25.07.2021 Nacional vs Estoril 1 — 2

As the Primeira Liga action unfolds, Nacional takes on Estoril in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams are looking to improve their standings, with Nacional currently sitting in 14th place and Estoril in 10th. This matchup will test their resolve as they aim to secure vital points early in the season.

Nacional's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with their last five matches yielding three draws and two losses. Their home form has not been particularly inspiring either, with two draws and a loss from their last three games, averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match. Despite these challenges, Nacional remains resilient, with no injuries or suspensions affecting their squad for this fixture.

Conversely, Estoril enters the match on the back of a slightly more encouraging run. They have managed to notch up one win, three draws, and a single loss in their last five outings. Estoril's defensive record stands out, having conceded only 0.80 goals per match on average in this stretch. However, their away form leaves room for improvement, with no wins and one draw from their last two games, alongside a goal-scoring average of 0.50 compared to 1.50 goals conceded per match. Like Nacional, Estoril faces no squad absences due to injury or suspension.

Historically, Estoril has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, securing three wins and two draws in their last five meetings with Nacional. This trend could provide them with a psychological advantage heading into the match.

In terms of prediction, both teams have shown a propensity for draws, suggesting a competitive and potentially low-scoring affair. Given Nacional's struggle to capitalize on home advantage and Estoril's relatively solid defensive form, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw. The betting market that best captures this scenario is "X", which reflects the likelihood of both teams sharing the spoils.

Prediction and Betting Tips

70% Confidence
X: Draw
Both teams have shown a tendency to draw in recent matches and their head-to-head history supports a closely contested match without a clear winner.
3.34
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Nacional vs Estoril
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.70 3.55 2.88 Bet now
William Hill 2.50 3.25 2.62 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.53 3.24 2.72 Bet now
Betfair 2.50 3.50 2.63 Bet now
BetVictor 2.45 3.30 2.60 Bet now
Pinnacle 2.59 3.29 2.79 Bet now
1xBet 2.63 3.36 2.83 Bet now
Betano 2.65 3.25 2.75 Bet now