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🌍 UEFA Nations League · Europe

Italy & Türkiye Prediction

Italy
D W L W W
vs
14:45
05 Oct · Mon
Türkiye
L L L W L
Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Referee: Szymon Marciniak
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
75% confidence
1.48
Odds

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Home win
66%
Italy
Draw
20%
No bet
Away win
14%
Türkiye

Last Matches

Italy · Last 5

02.10 AFrance 1 - 1 D
28.09 ATürkiye 4 - 1 W
25.09 HBelgium 0 - 2 L
07.06 AGreece 1 - 0 W
03.06 ALuxembourg 1 - 0 W

Türkiye · Last 5

02.10 ABelgium 0 - 3 L
28.09 HItaly 1 - 4 L
25.09 HFrance 0 - 1 L
25.06 HUSA 3 - 2 W
19.06 HParaguay 0 - 1 L

Head-to-Head

28.09.2026 Türkiye vs Italy 1 — 4
04.06.2024 Italy vs Türkiye 0 — 0
29.03.2022 Türkiye vs Italy 2 — 3
11.06.2021 Türkiye vs Italy 0 — 3

As Italy prepares to face Türkiye in their upcoming UEFA Nations League clash, both teams will look to capitalize on their recent performances. The match promises to be an intriguing encounter, with Italy aiming to continue their dominance over Türkiye, who are eager to prove their resilience.

Italy comes into this fixture with a solid track record, having won three of their last five matches. Notably, their recent 4-1 victory against Türkiye highlights their attacking prowess. With no injuries or suspensions to worry about, Italy will look to leverage their strong away form, which has seen them win all three of their recent games on the road, scoring an average of two goals per match while conceding just 0.33. However, their home form has been less stellar, with a loss in their only home game, where they failed to score and conceded twice.

Türkiye, on the other hand, faces a challenging task as they seek redemption after their heavy defeat to Italy. Their recent form shows inconsistency, with just one win in their last five matches and an average of 0.80 goals scored per game. Defensively, Türkiye has struggled, conceding two goals on average per match. Their away form is slightly better, with a win and a loss in their last two, but they concede 1.50 goals per game away from home. Like Italy, Türkiye has no players sidelined due to injury or suspension, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

The head-to-head statistics heavily favor Italy, who have won three of their last four encounters against Türkiye. This historical dominance suggests a challenging evening for Türkiye. As both teams look to improve their standings, the prediction leans towards a match where goals could be plentiful.

Given the attacking capabilities of Italy and Türkiye's defensive vulnerabilities, the most likely betting event appears to be "Total:Over: 2.5." Italy's ability to score freely, especially against Türkiye in the past, combined with Türkiye's need to respond strongly, suggests a game with multiple goals. Both teams' recent results and the absence of injuries or suspensions further support this outlook.

Prediction and Betting Tips

75% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Italy's average of 1.50 goals scored per match and Türkiye's average of 2.00 goals conceded, along with their recent 4-1 encounter, suggest a high-scoring game.
1.48
Odds

Bookmakers Odds

Italy vs Türkiye
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.49 5.55 7.55 Bet now
William Hill 1.36 4.60 6.50 Bet now
Bet365 1.40 5.50 6.50 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.44 5.05 7.20 Bet now
Betfair 1.36 5.00 7.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 7.50 Bet now
SBO 1.37 4.76 6.76 Bet now
1xBet 1.44 5.05 7.20 Bet now